Tuesday, 11 October 2011

a dull period


since my last post its been a pretty dull time with the football , the pmt trades have been almost zero and my budding 2-2 second half trades has almost come to a stop with the internationals which i don`t fancy trying it with, and the second - rate games we have been having in which anything can happen and the poor liquidity ..... its just been an awful few days.
i have tried the late night south American games though but been frustrated by a few last minute first half goals which has put paid to the prospective trade.

tonight i tried to make a few pounds on the Spain/Scotland game by backing a very high under 2.5 goals with the aim of coming out in ten minutes with a couple of pounds or so profit, but a 6th minute goal by Spain put paid to that and fearing a goal avalanche i redded up ...with hindsight i ought to have stayed in and would have got out for a scratch trade before the second goal came.

after this i just lost interest for the rest of the night.

still its given me a chance to crack on with my in running on the horses testing, now i know what i am doing will work but have not done it for some months and just want to make sure everything is fine before using real money.

so....roll on the end of the week and the weekend when the real football returns and things can get back to normal !!.

Thursday, 6 October 2011

in running on the horses almost here again


i have to apologise for the presentation of my last post all white bits and looking horrible i don`t know how it came about but i cannot change it and don`t fancy writing the post again so there it stays !
in any case at the moment no one is reading this blog so it don`t really matter ..haha.
today was the first time i had a pre in-running warm up on the gee gees for some months because i only like to do it on the jumps as its much easier and though its not my normal in running techniques i use which are very safe i did use some of the skills i have picked up over the years and though there is some risk involved i was pleased with the outcome as can be seen on the screenshot.

i will be doing a much more involved write-up about in-running trading on the horses which i think is one of the easier ways to trade on betfair ...providing you do it the right way and with the right tools...but more on that for later.

today's footie card was very,very bad which is the reason i had a go on the horses cos i did want the day to go to waste.

anyway tomorrow is much better and i am looking forward to the weekend and will see if i can have some success with the pmt tool .

bye

Tuesday, 4 October 2011

second half football trading





one of the things i like with trading on betfair is that you are always looking for new ways to trade that may give you the little edge that you need , one way that i hit upon is to start my trading in the second half of a football match, now this is nothing new as lots of people do it but for me its new.

what i have been doing is waiting for a game to be 0-0 at half time look at the form stats and if both side are scoring plenty of goals then have a small £2 back bet on the 2-2 score.
i have found that by half time you can get some pretty big odds for the 2-2 and i have been having them in a range of between 60-95 though just last night i waited until the 50th minute of an Italian game and got odds of 110 on the 2-2 , why people are happy to accept my back bet at these odds is beyond me ? but i am not complaining !.

now the tactic is just to sit back and wait for the goals to go in , the earlier in the second half the better as odds plummet that much further rather than late on in the game.
an ideal score is the 2-1 or 1-2 if the underdog scores first that also brings the 2-2 odds in nicely, though a 1-1 score does also give me a profit with anything from £4-10 leaving a nice lump on the 2-2 still.
of course 0-0 and the favorite scoring 1,2 or More goals without reply is a lost trade, but when the trade goes Right like at the weekend its party time !.


as you can see in the screenshots above i
made my £2 bet at half time and managed to get back odds of 90 and then after 1st goal i eliminated my red leaving a big green on the 2-2 , it then was soon 1-1 until the underdog scores to make it 1-2 at which point i greened up for a £44 profit which is not bad at all from a small £2 bet.
just my luck a few minutes later the score was 2-2 and could gave greened up for a bigger profit but i also could have lost out if the score went to 1-3 ..... always green up if you have the chance, i have learnt that the hard way over the years !!.

so...is this an easy way of making money on betfair....well no its not the two trades i have had since the weekend both lost and £4 went to money heaven i have had 3 of the above trades so far since i have been doing this and a larger number of smaller wins of anything from £4-10, i can have runs of 2-5 losing bets at a time but i soon make it back with a win.

clearly this type of trading is more of the medium to long term variety...but hey its something differant for me and i am sure there are ways to improve it which i will look into.

right enough of my waffle....
bye

Saturday, 1 October 2011

a new start

OK..... after a break of some months i will be restarting this blog, in the past i had done the blog daily but i am changing my sports trading and have no need to post daily and so will post when i feel like it but will most likely be several times a week.

i am having a break from the greyhounds and have left Chris William's tipping service .... nothing is wrong with it i was still making money but i just felt a bit stale doing the dogs and needed a change.
i will be returning to the greyhounds later.

now its the turn of the football markets for me and i will dive into them as often as i can !, i have rejoined the trading football service and as one of their very first members it did feel a bit like coming home after a years break due to my family problems and though a bit rusty i am getting back into the swing of things.
i have also joined their pmt service ( pre match trading ) i have found it hard to get started with it but now seemed to have clicked because in the last few days have already made this months subs back so i will be giving this another month to see how it goes.

apart from the football there will be some tennis and towards the end of this month i will be going back to in-running trading on the horses which is really easy money.
i have also joined a little horse tipping service which seems to be very good and i will be reporting on this as well.

i will be putting my first post up tomorrow and talking about a new strategy i have started in the last few weeks which is giving me some amazing results and a 2000% return from a football match just tonight alone !! .